Firearms Owners Against Crime
Institute for Legal, Legislative and Educational Action
Institute for Legal, Legislative and Educational Action
Activists seeking restrictions on the Second Amendment are fond of citing “homicide rates” instead of raw homicide numbers. They do this because it allows them to skirt any admission of gun control failures in blue states.
California’s pro-gun control Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) provides a good example of the left’s propensity to use “rates” to avoid the use of raw numbers.
On May 13, 2023, he tweeted: “It HAS to be the humidity. Why else would California’s gun violence rate be 57% lower than Florida’s?”
That tweet, coupled the Newsom’s ongoing push for more gun control alongside criticism of Florida laws like constitutional carry, concealed carry, etc., appears designed to give readers the impression California’s gun control keeps people safe while Florida’s pro-2A costs more lives.
But here are the raw statistics: Number of homicides in California during 2021 was 2,495, according to the Centers for Control and Prevention’s (CDC’s) Homicide Mortality map.
The CDC’s Homicide Mortality map shows the number of homicides in Florida in 2021 was 1,468.
Since it is not a good gun control argument to admit Florida had over 1,000 fewer homicides in 2021 than did California, the left pivots and presents Florida’s homicides as a “rate,” allowing them to present 1,468 as a bigger percentage of Florida’s nearly 22 million persons population than 2,495 was of California’s nearly 40 millions persons population.
Lost in this shift is the fact that over 1,000 more people were killed in gun-controlled California in 2021.
Moreover, the standardization of reporting “rates” instead of raw numbers allows the CDC to rank pro-2A Kentucky has having a homicide death rate of 9.6 for 2021 while giving California a rate of 6.4. Overlooked in this rank and rate approach is the fact that California had over 2,000 more homicides in 2021 than did Kentucky.
To put it in a way the left may better understand: Kentucky’s 408 homicides in 2021 represents less than 80 percent of the number of homicides witnessed in California.